Game 3, move 1 : Herd 6-5

[diane]

There are a few options here..

[diane]

No one wanted to hit?? Are you a herd, or a flock....of chickens?? 

[ah_clem]

The hitting play that was most tempting wasn't on the menu - that's the double hit 8/2* 6/1*.

But that's a little too loose for my tastes.  We'll see what the bot thinks.

[ah_clem]

XG++

Spoiler

Unsurprising that lover's leap comes out on top. Hitting is about a .05 error and the double hit is even worse.



XGID=-aa-B-D-B---dEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:1:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0 1 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X  O        O    |   | O              X |
| X           O    |   | O              X |
| X           O    |   | O                |
| X                |   | O                |
| X                |   | O                |
|                  |BAR|                  |
|                  |   |                  |
| O                |   | X                |
| O                |   | X                |
| O           X    |   | X     X          |
| O           X    |   | X     X     O  O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 161  O: 164 X-O: 0-0/1
Cube: 1
X to play 65

    1. XG Roller++ 24/13                        eq:+0.120
      Player:   55.98% (G:14.59% B:0.67%)
      Opponent: 44.02% (G:10.45% B:0.32%)

    2. XG Roller++ 24/18 13/8                   eq:+0.106 (-0.014)
      Player:   55.30% (G:16.11% B:0.83%)
      Opponent: 44.70% (G:11.06% B:0.39%)

    3. XG Roller++ 13/2*                        eq:+0.063 (-0.057)
      Player:   53.15% (G:18.19% B:0.92%)
      Opponent: 46.85% (G:12.05% B:0.64%)

    4. XG Roller++ 24/18 6/1*                   eq:+0.031 (-0.089)
      Player:   51.55% (G:14.98% B:0.57%)
      Opponent: 48.45% (G:13.23% B:0.60%)

    5. XG Roller++ 13/8 13/7                    eq:+0.028 (-0.092)
      Player:   51.39% (G:16.50% B:0.73%)
      Opponent: 48.61% (G:12.35% B:0.65%)

    6. XG Roller++ 13/7 6/1*                    eq:+0.023 (-0.097)
      Player:   51.14% (G:18.06% B:0.72%)
      Opponent: 48.86% (G:13.70% B:0.86%)

    7. XG Roller++ 8/2* 6/1*                    eq:-0.011 (-0.131)
      Player:   49.43% (G:18.33% B:0.64%)
      Opponent: 50.57% (G:14.80% B:0.97%)



eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

[close]